We're excited to announce our weekly segment published in collaboration with Stockhead.
As part of the weekly recap for Stockhead, our Director of Trading, Trent Primmer, was interviewed to share some trading highlights of the week.
A quick market snapshot as Q3 draws to a close; oil prices are ripping higher, M&A activity is surging, stocks are still near record highs and is that… inflation?
Local stocks fell yesterday after a panicky session on Wall Street.
That followed a shift in communication from US Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who acknowledged that US inflation gains through the middle of this year had been “larger and longer-lasting than anticipated”.
Uncertainty about the pace at which central banks may have to tighten monetary policy has prompted a punch to move in bond yields (here’s how that worked out back in February).
But turning to the ASX, there’s still “a lot of money around” in local markets, said Trent Primmer.
That partly stems from a strong reporting season, which resulted in a cash splash from Australia’s mining heavyweights who reaped bumper profits from the iron ore price surge (those days seem like long ago).
Last week, BHP (ASX:BHP) lavished shareholders with around $10bn while the Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) cash splash was more like $9bn, with Fortescue (ASX:FMG) set to pay out $7.5bn this Thursday, Primmer said. That’s a lot of divvies.
Australian investment funds “will receive about $40bn in half-year distributions from stocks in September and October”, Primmer said. “So where they put that cash will be interesting.”
And he flagged ongoing interest in the commodities complex tied to the EV thematic.
- Trent Primmer, Director of Trading
While inflation jitters are still creeping around in the broader market, Primmer said that the team at Barclay Pearce Capital aren’t positioning their portfolios for a sharp move either way at the current juncture.
As a practical example, local stocks fell quite sharply at the open this morning but are now fighting their way back.
Trent said:
“I don’t think this market’s going to be going anywhere fast — no considerable drop or a crazy rally. So I think there’s a reasonable chance it will trade sideways for the remainder of the year.”
In that context,
“it’s important on our side not to be nervy and throw in the towel on signs of market weakness”.
Linking back to the commodities space, Primmer flagged three small caps that are getting particular interest from Barclay Pearce Capital's clients.
A niche commodity, helium gas is used for… balloons that make your voice sound funny. But it also has the lowest boiling point of any element, which gives it a multitude of use cases as a cooling agent.
There’s also a global supply crunch underway, which is expected to last through the middle of this decade.
In his interview with Stockhead earlier this month, GGE was flagged by high-profile resources investor Tolga Kumova in a basket of resources minnows worth keeping on the watchlist.
Primmer has also been a consistent backer of Hot Chili (ASX:HCH), which recently completed its 100% acquisition of the Cortadera copper-gold discovery in Chile.
Trent said:
“We’re still happy to buy and hold there and build positions for clients that want exposure to that Chilean copper thematic.”
From June highs of 25c, the stock has sold off quite sharply but that makes it “quite cheap around these levels”, Primmer said.
In mid-June the company raised $12m at 20c a share, which should leave it “relatively well cashed up”, he added.
- Trent Primmer, Director of Trading
To read the full Stockhead article, click here.
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