We're excited to announce our weekly segment published in collaboration with Stockhead.
As part of the weekly recap for Stockhead, our Director of Trading, Trent Primmer, was interviewed to share some trading highlights of the week.
By and large, ASX companies have presented robust full-year earnings results in August reporting season, with some healthy dividend payments at the big end of town while bad misses have been few and far between.
But with markets at all-time highs in the wake of a post-COVID bull market, Trent says strong profits aren’t a guarantee of upward re-ratings, with valuations in some areas already looking stretched.
While profits are one part of the story, investors are also looking for clues in forwarding guidance, and that’s where Primmer says “a fair bit of uncertainty” has crept into the market.
- Trent Primmer, Director of Trading
Trent said:
“No one knows how long the issue with Delta will be, and we’re not seeing the broad level of fiscal stimulus we saw last year either which also adds some uncertainty.”
Taking a closer look at reporting season, Primmer said that some of that uncertainty has been reflected in specific company announcements.
A good example was maternity and baby goods retailer Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN), which declared a higher dividend and posted a 76% rise in full-year profits, only to get sold off sharply.
- Trent Primmer, Director of Trading
Perhaps reflecting that sentiment, banking heavyweight CBA edged higher on the day of its full-year results (August 11) but has since posted four straight falls of more than 1% to fall back below $100 in Tuesday trade.
Taking the broader risk outlook into account, Primmer said that for the foreseeable future, the Barclay Pearce portfolio will be structured around commodities — in line with the firm’s central 2021 investment thesis.
- Trent Primmer, Director of Trading
Healthcare is his next best bet, given that it’s a sector which usually holds up well in a market slowdown.
Trent said:
“I’d be wary of anything that trades on very high multiples.
It’s a tricky market for us to assist in structuring client portfolios over the next 12 months because in some areas we just don’t know, but I’d rather err on the side of caution.”
- Trent Primmer, Director of Trading
To read the full Stockhead's article, click here.
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